Okay, this is starting to look like a butt kicking. Obama is actually getting a majority of the vote right now. I have heard he is getting something like 80% of the black vote.
Paradoxically, this could hurt him nationally if he is seen as the “black candidate”; it could make it hard for him to get enough white and latino votes to win nationally amongst Democrats. We shall see.
Well, no vote totals have actually been reported as of yet, but CNN is calling this race for Senator Obama. My earlier posting of 8-12% points may prove to undersell Obama’s performance, if they are confident enough to call this right on poll closing. We’ll see as numbers come in, of course.
Polls close by around the time I finish typing this paragraph and click on the “publish” button. Buckeyenewshawk looks for an Obama win here. I would say Obama by 8-12 percentage points would be a neutral outcome. If Hillary keeps it closer than that, Obama is in trouble, and if she actually pulls off another surprise win, that could turn Super Tuesday into a Hillary coronation. Coversely, if Obama wins by a larger amount, it will mean he really turned out the black vote, or did better amongst whites than expected, or that Hillary has an even bigger “black” problem than we already thought. Let the tallying begin!
This was actually yesterday’s Washington Post, but I didn’t have a chance to blog it yesterday:
This proposal might be the biggest waste of resources in the history of human endeavour. Yes, even a bigger waste than the Big Dig; at least the project was noble, useful, even if not at what the staggering final cost ended up being. But a new stadium for the Washington Redskins? I would like to postulate that it is still true that any stadium that was built and opened within my functional memory (we will peg that at roughly 1984 to the present) is still entirely too new for its primary tenant to desire or in any way encourage being replaced. I would certainly like to postulate that its true of any stadium that opened after I graduated high school in 1996. I gotta think with all the problems facing Washington D.C. that its mayor can think of better places to spend zillions of dollars than bringing the Redskins “back home” when they are still in fact in the DC metro area.
As for the Redskins owner, Dan Snyder, doesn’t he waste enough time deciding how many associate head coaches he wants to have any free for a 2nd stadium project for the club in 15 years?
Also not a shocking development. Speaking personally, he is the Republican candidate with which I am the most comfortable. Of course, one does have to ask is it a good thing for a Republican to be endorsed by the New York Times? I mean, the man is having enough problems with the conservative flank of his party as it is.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/25/opinion/25fri2.html?th&emc=th
Not a shocking development, though I would’ve thought they might back Barack Obama, giving his campaign of change.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/25/opinion/25fri1.html?th&emc=th
Has been in the political news a lot here lately for some of the statements he has made in support of his wife’s campaign. Or, more accurately put, against Barack Obama’s campaign. A lot of the talk has centered around him being a loose cannon, or being Hillary’s worst enemy. Hogwash.
Bill’s posture since Iowa has quite simply been that of hatchet man, a role usually reserved for Vice Presidential nominees in general elections, because most campaigns don’t have another surrogate with the stature to get constant media attention. But the Hillary camp has the built-in advantage of her husband having lots of stature, since he was President himself for 8 years. And they are taking full advantage of that.
Out of Iowa Barack and the media are practically having a lovefest, while all of Hillary’s flaws have been out in the wide open for 16 years at this point. Hillary can’t complain about that publicly; she would be rightly accused of whining and ridiculed no end. Staffers can try to jawbone the media into changing the tone of their coverage, but that won’t get the complaint into public consciousness. Other surrogates can complain, but they don’t have the stature to guarantee the complaint leads the evening news. But Bill Clinton can go out and say that Obama’s record on the war in Iraq has shifted like sand in the wind, use the term “fairy tale” and, viola, its out there front and center. Hillary is free to go out there and campaign and she even gets a bit of a pass. She has nothing to do with this. She hasn’t gone negative. That’s just her loose cannon liability of a husband shooting his mouth off.
A 17 year old student in Fairfax County Virginia created quite the stir when he called a school administrator at home to find out why 3 inches of snow didn’t cancel class, and the admin’s wife called back a rather tart voice mail:
Now, he probably shouldn’t be calling school administrators at home; of course, if Mr. Tistadt had returned the call to his office . . . And the kid certainly should not have published their ph# on the facebook entry. But much more certainly Mrs. Tistadt should not have left that voice mail. There is no need to be snotty. Call back and politely ask that he not call her husband at home anymore would be okay; simply ignoring the original phone call would’ve been best. I hope the facebook, YouTube and local news coverage does embarrass her; she should be embarrased.
Bowling Green offensive lineman Kory Lichtensteiger will playing in this weekend’s Senior Bowl. The Steelers desperately need O-line help, and Mike Tomlin was quoted this week as saying he would be watching the Senior Bowl practices and game looking for “young big people”. Speaking personally it sounds like a match made in heaven!
For full article:
http://bgsufalcons.cstv.com/sports/m-footbl/spec-rel/012208aac.html
Rudy Giuliani has taken leave of his senses:
http://weblogs.chicagotribune.com/news/politics/blog/2008/01/giuliani_on_florida_mustwin_no.html
Doesn’t have to win in Florida? His entire pre-Super Tuesday strategy was Florida, focus on Florida, campaign in Florida while the other candidates did exotic things like try to win Iowa and/or New Hampshire, focus on Florida while other candidate jockeyed for position in South Carolina, Florida Florida Florida all the time Florida Florida Florida. The ex-pat New Yorkers in West Palm and Orlando have seen more of Hizzoner in the past 3 months than residents of Bedford-Stuyvesant saw of him in the entire decade of the 1990s.
His campaign was already almost as dead as his beloved Yankees have tended to be by mid-October, and now he is trying to claim he can win the nomination without winning Florida?!? I fear the South Florida heat and humidity may’ve melted his brain.
